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“I don’t give a f--- about my net worth. I have enough. My family has enough.” — Mark Cuban

Good morning! Nvidia fell another 5% yesterday and is now down ~30% in 25 trading days, erasing ~$1.8T in market cap, with >$400B of that lost since the Jensen Huang affair story broke.

A British man was convicted of fraud for posing as a PE exec (including a fake American accent) to make a bogus $206M bid for a commodities company. Anthropic launched AI office tools to take on Microsoft and Google, tanking Microsoft shares. And smart ring maker Oura is buying AI primary care startup Counsel Health for $625M.

Plus: Inside Sequoia’s reinvention, and parents suing schools over their kids’ bad grades.

Stuut’s AI coworker handles the payment follow-ups that finance teams never have time for. See it in action.

SQUEEZ OF THE DAY

The Mother of All IPOs

Anthropic’s IPO is just days away, with trading set to begin next Thursday, Nov. 19. The Claude maker plans to sell 825M shares at $70 to $78 apiece on the Nasdaq under the ticker “ANT,” with pricing set for Wednesday, Nov. 18.

At the top of the range, it raises up to ~$64B and is valued at up to ~$1.4T fully diluted, up from $965B in its May funding round. It’s also earmarking ~20% of shares for retail investors, double or quadruple the typical 5 to 10%.

On top of that, AMD, Broadcom, Google, Micron, Microsoft, Nvidia and TSMC are buying $26B of stock in a private placement at the IPO price, with no lockup, bringing the total raise to ~$90B.

The book is reportedly already covered, and per the FT, lead banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are weighing a price above the range, which could lift the valuation to $1.5T+ and total proceeds past $100B.

Backers say the priority is raising as much cash as possible to fund compute, not maximizing the headline valuation. Some pre-IPO holders are already flipping allocations: one brokerage is offering up to $500M of shares at 4% above the IPO price, and an SPV is selling $1.25B at a $1.5T valuation, deals Anthropic says it won’t recognize.

Anthropic’s revenue run rate hit ~$81B in October. Goldman reportedly models revenue reaching ~$685B by 2030, ~150x the $4.6B it made last year, with ~$586B coming from enterprise clients. Goldman doesn’t see positive annual free cash flow until 2030, with compute spending climbing to nearly $400B a year by then.

Last week’s midterms sparked a $3.2T tech selloff, and investors who were eyeing a $2T valuation have dialed that back. Analysts are all over the map: William Blair calls $1.5T reasonable at ~7x 2028 revenue, Morningstar pegs fair value at $1.7T (bear case $500B, bull case $3.4T), and NYU’s Aswath Damodaran sees anywhere from under $400B to $4T.

Takeaway: Even at the low end, Anthropic would be worth more than Berkshire Hathaway or Walmart on day one. If Goldman’s $685B forecast is even close, ~$1.4T could look cheap in hindsight. But that math requires Anthropic to grow ~150x in five years while spending its way to profitability. At least the investment bankers will be cash flow positive come next Thursday.

WALL STREET 360

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UPDATE: Wall Street 360 comp charts now have a Year filter.

Along with detailed 2026 data, our data goes back to 2022, so you can track year-over-year comp trends across 18 finance industries.

We also have firm-level data for 1,000+ firms. Start exploring and see how you stack up.

PRESENTED BY STUUT TECHNOLOGIES

Insight Partners Just Bet $52.5M On The AI That Chases Unpaid Invoices

Stuut co-founder Ben Winter is blunt about it: “Companies are really good at selling stuff and terrible at collecting cash.” That’s how a signed deal ends up sitting unpaid for weeks while someone in finance tracks down a missing purchase order.

Stuut’s AI coworker takes that follow-up work off the team’s plate. It connects to the systems a company already uses for billing and customer records. Then it calls, texts and emails customers with the invoice, payment history and past conversations already pulled up. When a customer disputes a charge, it works through the issue using rules the team sets and hands the judgment calls to a person.

Stuut says customers cut the time it takes to get paid by 47% on average, and that’s a big part of why Insight Partners led the round.

HEADLINES

Top Reads

  • Fake private equity executive convicted over bid to pump shares (BB)

  • Anthropic sets IPO price range of $70 to $78, looks to start trading Nov. 19, sources say (CNBC)

  • Goldman analysts see Anthropic revenue at $685 billion by 2030 (BB)

  • Anthropic unveils office tools ahead of IPO, taking on Microsoft (BB)

  • Oura to acquire AI-native primary care startup Counsel Health for $625M (TechCrunch)

  • The story of Sequoia Capital's reinvention (Axios)

  • The parents suing schools because their kids got bad grades (WSJ)

  • Jefferies accused of betrayal by client of its Leucadia fund (BB)

  • Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected, complicating Fed's inflation fight (CNBC)

  • Why high beef prices are here to stay (WSJ)

  • Luxury brands try to entice younger consumers with new experiences (CNN)

  • How industrial manufacturing leaders are remaking the path to growth (CNBC)

  • U.S. gas prices fall below $4 for the first time since July (CNBC)

  • Vanguard inks $4 billion of private debt for Altruist deal (BB)

  • Goldman leads investment in cybersecurity startup at $400 million valuation (WSJ)

  • KKR says firm to be cautious with AI bets (WSJ)

  • Broad price pressures firm up case for Fed rate increase in December (WSJ)

CAPITAL PULSE

Markets Rundown

Market Update

  • Stocks closed lower with technology lagging after a hotter-than-expected October CPI; the 10-year Treasury yield approached 5.0%.

  • WTI crude extended its decline to about $86 on Middle East diplomacy, while the U.S. dollar strengthened.

  • Asian equities finished broadly higher and European stocks also advanced.

Inflation

  • Headline CPI rose 0.4% in October versus the 0.3% forecast, down from September’s 0.6%; no year-over-year comparison exists because no CPI report was published in October 2025.

  • Core CPI rose 0.3% versus the 0.2% estimate, and energy prices rose 0.7%, including gasoline up 1.0%.

  • The Fed is seen on track for two more hikes, beginning in December.

Labor Market

  • Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in October, matching headline CPI and leaving real wages broadly flat.

  • ADP showed private employers added an average of 19,750 jobs per week for the four weeks ended October 24, up from 19,500.

  • Unemployment is 4.1%, with about 7.5 million job openings versus 7.1 million unemployed.

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) AAON ($AAON) +19% after the HVAC and data center cooling maker reported record Q3 sales of $707 million, up 84%.

  • (–) Nvidia ($NVDA) -6% because the FBI is reportedly investigating China ties and Congress is threatening a subpoena.

  • (–) Hims & Hers ($HIMS) -17% after the telehealth company missed Q3 earnings as gross margin fell to 57% from 74%.

Prediction Markets

  • We saw Brent crude drop precipitously following the Midterm elections. Will that trend continue?

  • Trade on real-world events with Kalshi. Use code OWS to get a $10 bonus when you trade $10.

Private Dealmaking

  • Mercor, a data-labeling firm, raised $750 million

  • Blackstone agreed to buy a 15.57% stake in IIFL Finance, an Indian shadow lender, for around $532 million

  • Nominal, a hardware intelligence platform, raised $240 million

  • Laza Medical, an AI cardiac imaging platform, raised up to $160 million

  • Daylight, an Israeli cybersecurity company, raised $80 million

  • Oyster Therapeutics, a neuroscience biotech, raised $60 million

For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.

BOOK OF THE DAY

Everybody Wins

Description: Bing Gordon, longtime Electronic Arts executive and venture capitalist, explains how principles from video game design can help businesses create products customers genuinely love. Drawing on decades of experience, he introduces eight principles of gamification, including rewarding progress, creating memorable experiences, encouraging social connections, and building lasting engagement. The book shows how companies can turn ordinary products into compelling experiences that attract loyal customers and drive growth.

Book Length: 304 pages
Release Date: October 27, 2026

Ideal For: Entrepreneurs, product managers, technology executives, investors, and business strategists interested in product development, customer engagement, gamification, and building scalable businesses. Particularly valuable for leaders focused on customer retention and creating products that generate lasting loyalty.

Great products don't just solve problems. They create experiences that people genuinely want to return to.

DAILY VISUAL

Utilities, Defense and Digitization Driving Europe’s Capex Revival

Source: Apollo

PRESENTED BY GRANOLA

You Might As Well Light Your Keyboard On Fire

Ok, not actually, but thanks to Granola, productivity pros are writing faster and cleaner in every app by simply speaking.
Voice typing with Granola is highly effective and easy to use:

  • Speak naturally, Granola adds punctuation and paragraph breaks to turn your thoughts into polished text

  • Capture your ideas, start a draft, or explain a plan before losing the thought

  • Granola recognizes co-workers’ names and other jargon for full context

Whether it’s hands-free productivity pacing around your office, or simply wanting to type as fast as you can think, Granola frees you from the limits of your keyboard. 

Try Granola on Mac, Windows and iOS. Voice Typing comes with unlimited words for every Granola user. New users get their first month of Granola with code SHORTSQUEEZ.

DAILY ACUMEN

Morgan’s Library

In the autumn of 1907, New York was in a financial crisis. Stocks were falling, unemployment was rising, and depositors lined up overnight to pull money from even healthy banks. There was no central bank to stop it.

J.P. Morgan summoned dozens of the city’s leading financiers to his private library on Madison Avenue. He asked them to contribute to a $25 million pool to backstop the system and kept them there overnight until they agreed. The plan essentially ended the panic.

It also exposed the problem: the country’s financial system had been saved by one private banker with a lock on his door. Senator Nelson Aldrich arranged a secret meeting of bankers, who traveled by private rail car dressed as duck hunters, using only first names. Six years later, the Federal Reserve Act turned Morgan’s one night into a permanent institution.

Every time the Fed steps in during a crisis, it is doing what Morgan did in that library. The lesson is to build systems that don’t depend on one person being in the right room.

ENLIGHTENMENT

Short Squeez Picks

  • Sequoia’s Shaun Maguire on why people don't understand SpaceX

  • David Solomon on the best career advice from his grandma

  • Why you should treat charisma as a red flag

  • Coffee’s new status symbol is a machine without plastic

  • Gen Z is challenging ‘performative availability

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