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“He had absolutely no idea that the person in question was a spy … I really believe him.” — President Trump on his conversation with Jensen Huang

Good Morning! Nvidia’s probe into Jensen Huang’s affair is putting succession in the spotlight, with analysts saying there’s no clear replacement (they expected him to stay another decade). U.S. stocks had their best day since April as oil fell, and KKR’s “mini Berkshire” tripled its profit on the USI sale.

Nearly a third of Blackstone’s real estate SMDs have left in three years, likely over shrinking pay. Twenty-somethings are skipping the entry-level grind to become their own bosses. And U.S. regulators are warning that GLP-1 drugs may carry a rare risk of blindness.

Plus: Parents are building bowling alleys and spas to keep their kids home, and can Democrats actually fix the economy?

Get access to early-stage investment opportunities with Alumni Ventures. See their current deals.

SQUEEZ OF THE DAY

Canada’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Era

Canada is poaching Bridgewater’s co-CIO away from the notorious $150 billion hedge fund, and Prime Minister Mark Carney is personally backing the launch of her new roughly $18 billion sovereign wealth fund.

Karniol-Tambour, 41, joined Bridgewater straight out of Princeton in 2006 and rose to co-chief investment officer in 2023. She also holds Canadian citizenship, so it makes sense she wants to come home to build a multi-billion sovereign wealth fund from scratch. 

And don’t count Canada out; sovereign wealth funds aren’t just for Gulf states investing their oil fortunes. Canada is run by a former investment banker, and Prime Minister Mark Carney spent 13 years at Goldman Sachs before running the Bank of Canada and Bank of England, and even chairing Brookfield Asset Management. So Carney is putting his Wall Street background to work, and has a vision of a fund designed to back Canadian businesses and earn returns while reducing the economy’s dependence on the US. 

The $18 billion fund will invest exclusively in Canadian companies and projects, and put money alongside private investors on the same terms. The fund can also buy minority stakes in businesses already receiving federal support and give taxpayers a share of the upside. The goal is to earn long-term returns while strengthening the domestic economy, and recruiting a senior Bridgewater exec could be a good sign Canada is looking to put up some serious IRRs.

Canada already has a couple of major pension plans, including CPP Investments and Ontario Teachers’, but this is the country’s first sovereign wealth fund. Starting in early 2027, Canadians will also be able to put their own money into it and invest alongside the country, but Karniol-Tambour’s investment mandate is finding deals that both strengthen Canada’s economy and deliver attractive returns. 

Takeaway: By global standards, the Canada Strong Fund will be tiny next to giants like Norway’s Norges Bank (~$2.2T), Saudi Arabia’s PIF (~$910B) and the Kuwait Investment Authority (~$1T). But every giant started small, and if Ottawa keeps the politics out and hires legit investors to run it, this could compound into something meaningful over a few decades. And with sovereign funds suddenly back in fashion, the question is: how long before Washington poaches Ray Dalio to run its own?

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HEADLINES

Top Reads

  • Jensen Huang affair puts Nvidia’s future at risk, with no clear successor to the renowned CEO (CNBC)

  • Wall Street sticks with AI playbook after historic tech unwind (BB)

  • KKR triples 'mini Berkshire' profit to top analyst estimates (BB)

  • Dwindling pay fuels high-profile exits from Blackstone's marquee real estate team (WSJ)

  • 20-somethings are ditching entry-level jobs to become their own bosses (WSJ)

  • U.S. regulators warn GLP-1 drugs carry possible rare blindness risk (WSJ)

  • The parents building bowling alleys and wellness spas to keep their kids home (WSJ)

  • Democrats promised to fix the economy. What can they really do? (WSJ)

  • Hyperscalers face fresh scrutiny over data-center emissions (WSJ)

  • Nvidia's CEO turmoil gives newly empowered Democrats fresh ammunition in pursuit of oversight (CNBC)

  • Restaurant chains refocus on food quality to bring back diners (CNBC)

  • Cold plunges, fitness pop-ups: the students pushing clean living on campus (WSJ)

  • Is AI taking white-collar jobs? What the latest numbers tell us (WSJ)

  • Palantir hires a former Democratic senator as it faces scrutiny in new Congress (NPR)

  • They led an Energy Department overhaul. Now they plan to build data centers (WSJ)

  • KKR seeks investor in power firm ContourGlobal at £4 billion value (BB)

  • Home listings pile up in October, but sellers won't slash prices (CNBC)

  • Eli Lilly's Foundayo obesity pill eases sleep apnea in late-stage trial, paving way for approval (CNBC)

  • Morgan Stanley to buy fintech Vinyl Equity in wealth expansion (BB)

  • Peloton taps junk-bond market for first time in refinancing deal (BB)

  • Google escalates Nvidia rivalry with specialized versions of AI chips (BB)

CAPITAL PULSE

Markets Rundown

Market Update

  • Stocks rallied firmly as all 11 S&P 500 sectors closed higher, led by consumer discretionary and industrials, each up more than 3%.

  • WTI crude fell below $87 as investors weighed Middle East diplomacy.

  • The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed near 4.87%.

Economic Backdrop

  • Nonfarm payrolls rose 165,000 in October versus the 65,000 forecast, with prior two months revised up a combined 84,000.

  • Q3 labor productivity rose 3.6% annualized and jobless claims hit their lowest level since 1969.

  • S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to moderate from this year’s pace of more than 30%.

Inflation Preview

  • October CPI is expected to rise to 4.0% from 3.7%, and PPI to 6.6% from 6.3%, on higher energy costs.

  • Core CPI’s three-month annualized rate has risen to about 3.3%, and WTI averaged just over $100 in October versus roughly $60 a year ago.

  • Another 0.25 percentage-point Fed hike is expected in December.

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) Coherent ($COHR) +17% after the AI optical networking company beat earnings and received multiple upgrades.

  • (+) AMD ($AMD) +13% because Oppenheimer upgraded the chipmaker to Outperform with a $600 price target.

  • (–) Nvidia ($NVDA) -4% after chipmaker’s board announced an investigation into CEO Jensen Huang over his alleged affair.

Prediction Markets

  • CPI and Core CPI numbers get released around 8:30am EDT today.

  • Trade on real-world events with Kalshi. Use code OWS to get a $10 bonus when you trade $10.

Private Dealmaking

  • Alfa Laval agreed to acquire Navtor, a Norwegian provider of e-navigation software, for $700 million

  • Onodrim, the Dutch defense and industrial scale-up platform, raised $300 million

  • Project Omega, a developer of battery-like power systems from used nuclear fuel, raised $80 million

  • Blacksmith, an infrastructure platform for building and testing code, raised $66 million

  • Kevel, an ad tech infrastructure startup, raised $52 million

  • Baba, a patient advocacy startup for Medicare and Medicare Advantage, raised $40 million

For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.

BOOK OF THE DAY

The Everything Code

Description: Raoul Pal presents a framework for understanding how debt cycles, monetary policy, and technological innovation shape the global economy and financial markets. He argues that traditional economic systems are increasingly strained by government debt, currency debasement, and wealth inequality, while exponential technologies, particularly artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency, are creating new investment opportunities. The book explores how investors can recognize these structural shifts and position themselves for the next era of economic growth.

Book Length: 256 pages
Release Date: November 3, 2026

Ideal For: Investors, portfolio managers, finance executives, and technology entrepreneurs interested in macroeconomics, monetary policy, cryptocurrency, AI, and long-term wealth creation. Particularly valuable for readers exploring how technological disruption and global liquidity cycles could reshape investment returns.

Understanding the forces shaping the future of money and technology is essential to positioning yourself for the opportunities ahead.

DAILY VISUAL

Price Discovery Is Still Broken

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DAILY ACUMEN

Four Percent

Finance professor Hendrik Bessembinder looked at nearly 26,000 US stocks from 1926 to 2016. 58% of them failed to beat Treasury bills over their entire lives.

Just 1,092 companies, 4.3% of the total, accounted for all of the roughly $35 trillion in wealth created above T-bills. More than half of that came from only 90 companies, under one-third of 1% of the total.

The typical stock isn’t a good investment. The market’s return comes from a tiny number of enormous winners, and the median stock lasted only 7.5 years in the database.

If you pick individual stocks, you’re hunting for those few. If you own the whole market, you hold them by default.

ENLIGHTENMENT

Short Squeez Picks

  • The commute habit for a much happier work day

  • What Gen-Z really wants from its managers

  • How chatbots are transforming dating

  • 5 factors to figure out where you should live

  • 5 ways to get a word in when someone won’t stop talking

MEME-A-PALOOZA

Memes of the Day

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