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šŸ‹ Wall Street’s Most Expensive ā€˜No’

Plus: Mercedes-Benz puts Microsoft Teams in cars, Goldman pauses layoffs, Blackstone tops $1.2T AUM, and the 5Ā¢ meme stock behind 15% of US trading volume.

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Good Morning! In a feature literally no one asked for, Mercedes-Benz is adding Microsoft Teams to its vehicles. Goldman Sachs is pausing a second round of layoffs after a stronger-than-expected Q2 from its investment bankers.

The EU and US reached a trade agreement, with 15% tariffs on European exports to America. Blackstone crossed a record-breaking $1.2T in AUM. Hackers leaked 72,000 photos and IDs from Tea, the viral women-only app for flagging men. Citi is entering the high-end credit card wars and dropped the "Strata Elite."

Plus: The five-cent meme stock that made up 15% of US trading volume, and what’s driving billion-dollar valuations for sports teams?

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SQUEEZ OF THE DAY

Wall Street’s Most Expensive ā€˜No’

short squeez main story Wall Street’s Most Expensive ā€˜No’

For many on Wall Street, especially in hedge funds, the promise of a life-changing bonus is what keeps the engine running. It’s the dangling carrot that drives analysts to push for alpha and traders to chase P&L into December.

And if you ever feel shortchanged on your bonus, it probably wasn't as brutal as what happened to Robert Gagliardi.

Gagliardi joined hedge fund Evolution Capital in April 2021. Over the next 11 months, he generated $60 million in trading profits, which (he claims) was over 97% of the firm’s total revenue during that period.

Despite that, Evolution declined to pay a $7.5 million discretionary bonus. When Gagliardi pressed for it, the firm’s founder, Michael Lerch, allegedly responded, ā€œI’m not going to pay you the bonus. F*** you. Sue me.ā€

Evolution argues it was within its rights to withhold the bonus, citing Gagliardi’s short tenure, "abrasive attitude", and complications stemming from his involvement in the U.S. DOJ’s probe into Morgan Stanley’s block trading.

While Gagliardi was never charged and says he was cleared by the SEC, Evolution pointed to reputational and trust issues, including his close ties to Pawan Passi, the former Morgan Stanley executive who paid a $250,000 fine for leaking confidential deal info.

While bonuses are legally discretionary, they’re widely understood as the primary vehicle for compensation in hedge funds and trading roles. Base salaries for hedge fund analysts typically range from $125K to $200K, depending on fund size and experience, but the real money is in bonuses. Traders and PMs with meaningful P&L often receive 10–20% of the profits they generate. By that math, Gagliardi’s ask wasn’t out of line.

Takeaway: In theory, you eat what you kill. In practice, your bonus is only as secure as your internal politics. You can generate $60 million, but if you lose the room, you may still walk away with nothing. Gagliardi may get something back, but past outcomes suggest he could walk away with only a fraction of what he believes he's owed, or likely nothing at all.

HEADLINES

Top Reads

  • Mercedes Benz, Microsoft team up to turn your car into office (PL)

  • Goldman puts brakes on layoffs after strong Q2 (NYP)

  • Trump reaches agreement with E.U. to lower tariffs to 15% (CNN)

  • Hackers leak 72,000 user photos and IDs from the Tea app (Fox)

  • Trump floats the possibility of tariff rebate checks (Axios)

  • Astronomer hires Gwyneth Paltrow with a wink after ā€˜kiss cam’ viral video (NBC)

  • Man wins payout after Google photographs him in the nude in his yard (Fox)

  • This could be the most consequential week for the economy in years (CNN)

  • Five cent meme stock makes up 15% of trading on US exchanges (BB)

  • Citi launches $595 high-end credit card to challenge Amex, J.P. Morgan (YF)

  • Coursera says 12 people every minute enroll in an AI course (CE)

  • The V-shaped recovery in stocks is a V-shaped recovery in earnings (YF)

  • Blackstone sets industry record with $1.2 trillion in assets (YF)

  • Banks get pickier about whom they want as credit card customers (WSJ)

  • Goldman Sachs hungry for acquisitions, but not for the targets you think (NYP)

  • Japan says $550 billion package could finance TSMC in the US (YF)

  • Carlyle buys farm loans that hedge losses as industry suffers (BB)

  • Americans see their 401(k)s as rainy day funds (WSJ)

  • Big firms will win private equity’s race for 401k(s), according to Jon Gray (BB)

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CAPITAL PULSE

Markets Rundown

short squeez markets July 28

Market Update

  • Stocks finished the week higher, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching new record highs, fueled by strong early earnings and easing trade tensions

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.38%, down from its May peak near 4.60%

  • Materials and industrials led sector gains, while energy and communications lagged

  • Asia and Europe declined as EU–U.S. trade negotiations continued

  • The U.S. dollar strengthened against major currencies

  • WTI crude oil fell on reports that U.S. firms may resume production in Venezuela

Economic Data Highlights

  • Durable goods orders fell 9.3% in June, better than the expected 11.0% drop

  • Transportation equipment plunged 22.4%, driving the decline

  • Core durable goods (ex-transportation) rose 0.2%

  • Data points to a gradual recovery in manufacturing, which may support the broader economy and labor market

Reported Earnings

  • HCA Healthcare reported EPS of $6.84, beating estimates; revenue rose 6.4% YoY to $18.61B and the company raised full-year guidance

  • Phillips 66 posted mixed results as refining margins softened; details awaited on EPS vs. expectations

  • Charter Communications missed estimates with EPS of $9.18; internet subscriber losses drove shares down ~18%

Earnings Today

  • Waste Management (WM) – Watch for trends in commercial waste volumes and pricing power

  • Nucor (NUE) – Focus on steel demand outlook and margins amid trade uncertainty

  • Tilray Brands (TLRY) – Look for updates on cannabis market dynamics and international expansion

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) Coursera Inc ($COUR) +36% after the online learning company is leveraging AI into strong Q2 earnings.

  • (+) Boston Beer ($SAM) +7% because the Samuel Adams and Truly parent company beat earnings.

  • (–) Charter Communications ($CHTR) -18% after the Spectrum parent company announced an earnings miss; loss of internet subscribers.

Private Dealmaking

  • 5C Group, an AI power plant developer, raised $835 million

  • Electra, an EV charging network, raised $472 million

  • Zenobē, an EV fleet-as-a-service provider, raised $354 million

  • Armada, a modular AI data center startup, raised $131 million

  • HeroDevs, a software company, raised $125 million

  • Yieldstreet, a private markets investment platform, raised $77 million

For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.

NEIGHBORHOOD WATCH

Real Estate Digest

short squeez real estate digest July 28

Need help with real estate? Our official partner, Nest Seekers International, can help you buy, sell, rent, or invest, anywhere in the world. Get in touch here.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stayed about the same this week, despite slower home sales during the spring. Home prices had started to level off in early summer, but are now rising again in markets where buyers are still searching for fairly priced homes.

Latest News

New Listings

BOOK OF THE DAY

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Rating: Amazon: 4.8 / 5, Goodreads: 4.2  /  5

Book Length: 288 pages

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ā€œData is not about number crunching. It’s about ideas.ā€ — Justin Evans

DAILY VISUAL

HOKA BOOM

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DAILY ACUMEN

Stress Isn’t The Problem

Burnout doesn’t come from working too hard.

It comes from working too long without meaning.

Research shows that people can endure enormous stress—long hours, high stakes, constant challenge—if they feel a sense of autonomy, mastery, and purpose.

But take away agency? Strip out progress? Mute the mission? That’s when stress becomes toxic.

It’s not about ā€œwork-life balance.ā€ It’s about work-life resonance.

Does what you do echo with who you are?

In investing terms: people burn out when their emotional P&L goes red—when the effort exceeds the personal return.

So don’t just audit your hours. Audit your energy.

Does your work cost you… or compound you?

ENLIGHTENMENT

Short Squeez Picks

  • What’s behind sport teams’ billion-dollar valuations?

  • How to stand your ground with pushy, manipulative people

  • The right way to respond to a compliment

  • Why affluency is a syndrome of the rich and powerful

  • How breaking your morning routine can ruin your day

MEME-A-PALOOZA

Memes of the Day

short squeez analysis from Citi meme
short squeez intern showing up for his first client meeting meme
short squeez microsoft mercedes benz meme
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