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“The longer your email, the less likely it is to be read by someone who can act on it.” — Shane Parrish

Good Morning! CalPERS is trimming its exposure to big US tech companies and moving money into private equity. PE firms, meanwhile, are holding companies beyond the usual three-to-five-year window, leading to more leadership changes at their portfolio companies. And Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman says the firm’s AI bet began with a chance encounter with Alibaba founder Jack Ma in 2015.

Goldman Sachs raised its music industry growth forecast for the first time in three years. Carlyle is adding more Brooklyn rowhouses to its growing rental empire. And Live Nation is going all-in on designing its own concert venues.

Plus: SpaceX teams up with Apollo and Nvidia on a new Grok partnership program, how Blackstone’s chip bet helped fuel a debt boom that’s reshaping credit, and why stale PE valuations are raising questions about fairness.

Today’s partner provides a premium platform for VIPs looking to build and manage wealth in a digital world. Learn more about Blockchain.com’s Blockchain Wealth.

SQUEEZ OF THE DAY

NYC’s October Surprise

The Knicks won their first championship in 53 years in June, and when Madison Square Garden employees got an email last month offering them a free personalized ring, it didn’t seem that crazy considering how hard NYC celebrated the win. 

The email congratulated employees on the title and let them choose between two designs, Championship Gold and Garden Classic, made by the same jeweler with the same craftsmanship as the real thing. But it turns out the email was just a company phishing training, and employees who clicked to reserve one didn’t get a ring; they got assigned mandatory cybersecurity training.

Anyone with a corporate job knows the usual phishing bait: a fake invoice, a package you never ordered, or a request to reset your password, but MSG went straight for the emotional jugular and offered employees a piece of the franchise’s first championship in more than 50 years. Most phishing tests ask whether you’ll trust a suspicious link, but this one asked whether you’d believe your employer wanted to thank you.

MSG had a real reason to test its defenses, and the company said it had recently been hacked and extorted after an employee’s login credentials were stolen in a similar phishing attack. A championship ring was convincing bait precisely because employees had reason to believe they might get one. But the problem is that the thing that made it a great test is also what made it a terrible message to send your own employees.

MSG has since admitted that using the rings as bait was an “unfortunate mistake” and also noted that more than 275 players, coaches, employees and others in the organization are getting real rings and jewelry worth over $3.7 million, or about $13,500 apiece. That list was set separately, though, and clicking the fake email didn’t put anyone on it. For a lot of staff, the only thing they actually got out of the championship email was an hour of compliance training.

Companies don’t get many chances to make employees feel part of a championship, and MSG turned one into a lesson in being suspicious when management offers you something nice. That might make employees think twice before clicking the next email, but it should also make the next employee-engagement survey very interesting.

Takeaway: Testing whether employees will click a suspicious link makes sense, but testing whether they’re gullible enough to believe you appreciate them is a tougher sell. Somewhere on Wall Street, a compliance team just found its next phishing template: “After a record year, we’re pleased to announce an additional bonus.” Click here to turn your afternoon into mandatory training.

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HEADLINES

Top Reads

  • Calpers pivots from US tech giants to private equity, FT reports (BB)

  • PE firms are holding investments longer, and changing leaders more (WSJ)

  • Blackstone Steve Schwarzman says chance encounter led to AI (BB)

  • Goldman Sachs raises music industry growth forecast for first time in 3 years (Billboard)

  • Carlyle Group grows its Brooklyn rental empire (Crain’s NY)

  • Why Live Nation is going all-in on designing its own concert venues (Fast Company)

  • SpaceX works with Apollo, Nvidia on new Grok partnership program (BB)

  • Blackstone bet on chips drove a debt boom that’s upending credit (BB)

  • Private equity’s stale marks fuel debate over fairness, study finds (BB)

  • Bitcoin billionaires are racing to ride a 3,000% crypto boom (BB)

  • Wall Street prepares for AI’s “day after” (Axios)

  • SpaceX records $561 million investment gain from stake in Elon Musk’s Boring Co. (CNBC)

  • Hedge funds log widest daily drawdown since Covid in rout (BB)

  • Volvo Cars plunges 27% as CEO says China sales slump came ‘faster than we thought’ (CNBC)

  • A $10 billion building boom is reshaping Prague (BB)

  • Anthropic strikes deal to launch European consultancy (FT)

  • Wheat slides for eighth week in longest losing streak since 1997 (BB)

  • Wall Street urging Anthropic, OpenAI to do their IPOs this year ‘before things get crazy’ — here’s why (NY Post)

  • Barilla paid $750 million for Goodles in an all-cash deal (BB)

  • Buyout firms look to swap out portfolio company CEOs as holds lengthen (WSJ)

  • American Express is cutting 5% of its workforce to ‘prepare for AI’ (CNBC)

  • Soaring AI bills are vexing Wall Street executives (BB)

CAPITAL PULSE

Markets Rundown

Market Update

  • Stocks closed lower to end a volatile week, though tech stabilized after Thursday’s pullback; WTI crude topped $103, up 4% on the day.

  • European natural gas prices climbed to multi-year highs amid reports the U.S. may strike Iran after the midterms.

  • Treasury yields were modestly higher, though bonds have cushioned equity volatility as investors rotated to safe havens.

AI Financing

  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index had its worst daily decline in four months Thursday, leaving it 26% below its June record high.

  • Corporate yield premiums for tech companies have widened to their highest since May 2025 on heavy AI infrastructure spending.

  • Alphabet and Microsoft report October 28, and Amazon and Intel report October 29.

Market Breadth and the Fed

  • The equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.7% Thursday, its largest daily outperformance in more than two years, with over two-thirds of S&P 500 constituents higher.

  • Markets price roughly a 90% probability the Fed holds rates next week, with 80%+ odds of a hike in December.

  • The ECB and Bank of Canada also meet next week.

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) CrowdStrike ($SPOT) +8% after U.S. security agencies warned about vulnerabilities to the programming language PHP.

  • (–) AT&T ($T) -8% because SpaceX is in talks to access at least 80,000 U.S. cell sites to build out its Starlink Mobile network.

  • (–) Bloom Energy ($BE) -11% after negative operating cash flow on record capex led to price target cuts.

Prediction Markets

  • Rumors were swirling that we’d see the Anthropic S-1 last Friday. We wait another week…

  • Trade on real-world events with Kalshi. Use code OWS to get a $10 bonus when you trade $10.

Private Dealmaking

  • Apex, a satellite maker, is in talks to raise around $500 million

  • Xona, a provider of commercial navigation infrastructure in low-Earth orbit, raised $250 million

  • Pathos AI, a precision oncology startup, raised $237 million

  • Warp Sciences, a chemistry CRO, raised $215 million

  • Warhound, a developer of genetically engineered military dogs, raised $200 million

  • Tractian, an AI platform for asset-heavy industries, raised $130 million

For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.

BOOK OF THE DAY

Agency

Description: Martin E. P. Seligman explores a fundamental question: what drives human progress, innovation, and prosperity? Drawing on six decades of psychological research and examining 2,500 years of history, Seligman argues that the key factor is agency, the combination of three psychological capabilities: efficacy, optimism, and imagination. Efficacy is the belief that you can accomplish something today, optimism is the expectation that your efforts will pay off in the future, and imagination is the ability to envision possibilities beyond current circumstances.

Book Length: 400 pages
Release Date: September 8, 2026

Ideal For: Investors, executives, entrepreneurs, business leaders, and readers interested in psychology, human behavior, economic development, and personal growth. Particularly valuable for professionals seeking to develop a stronger sense of ownership, improve decision-making, build resilience, and recognize how optimism and long-term thinking can influence career success, organizational performance, and innovation.

Progress begins when people believe they can shape their future, imagine what is possible, and take action to make it real.

DAILY VISUAL

Pokemon Cards Having a Moment

Source: CNBC

PRESENTED BY UNIQUE AI

As Wealth Firms Roll Out AI, Unique AI Gives Advisors a Teammate That Remembers Every Client

Wealth firms have spent 2026 putting AI tools in front of their advisors, because most of an advisor’s day still happens away from clients. A Morningstar study released this month found 80% of US advisors now use AI, yet administrative and operational work remains the biggest barrier to delivering the client service they want.

Earlier this month in New York, Unique AI launched Remy, an AI teammate that keeps an up-to-date picture of every client, from their holdings to the personal details they mentioned on the last call. Before a client review, Remy pulls portfolio information, past meeting notes, and open tasks into a single source-linked briefing.

But what does having an AI teammate actually look like before your next client meeting? On October 29, Unique AI’s Chief Commercial Officer, Anshu Kotak, will show Remy at work in a live, 30-minute walkthrough. Join at 10:00 a.m. ET (or register to get the recording) to see what meeting prep could look like when your teammate already knows the client.

DAILY ACUMEN

Weak Ties

In 1973, sociologist Mark Granovetter interviewed professionals about how they found their jobs. Most heard about them from friends of friends, often people they barely knew.

In 2022, researchers tested it on more than 20 million LinkedIn users over five years. The most useful contacts were moderately weak ties, people sharing roughly 10 mutual connections, and people you contact rarely.

Your close circle knows the same openings you do. The next opportunity usually sits one step outside it, so send the message to the person you haven’t spoken to in two years.

ENLIGHTENMENT

Short Squeez Picks

  • The world’s leading AI-driven deal modeling platform is hiring (IB/PE/PC only) (See role)

  • The 5 best carry-ons for travel

  • How sleep supports memory and learning

  • How to present your ideas effectively

  • Why the 3rd generation is trickiest for inheritances 

  • How to find the best sleep schedule for your body

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Memes of the Day

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