TOGETHER WITH

❝

“The cost of debt is not the interest rate you pay. It’s the independence you forfeit.”

— Morgan Housel

Good morning! HSBC is phasing out fixed-pay allowances for senior staff and shifting more compensation into bonuses. Starbucks says it’s not buying Chipotle after takeover speculation. And fast-growing Clio yogurt bars was snapped up by private equity firm Stride Consumer Partners.

McKinsey removed partner Chris Bradley from his leadership role at the McKinsey Global Institute after he posted comments questioning the challenges female executives face. And Bumble, once valued at more than $14 billion, is in advanced talks to go private at a $1 billion valuation.

Plus: Intel and Broadcom’s CEOs warn a capital crunch could become AI’s biggest bottleneck, Getty Images will file for bankruptcy and go private in a deal with Koch, and 5 ways to read the room like a pro.

Petrarch is building a new asset class around a company’s operational data. If you are in private credit or distressed assets, set up a call with their executive team here.

SQUEEZ OF THE DAY

Meta Reaches AI Frontier

Meta has spent billions in the AI arms race over the past couple years, spending big to recruit AI researchers, build data centers, and try and go toe-to-toe with the top players in the space. And now Mark Zuckerberg says Meta has finally caught up in AI. 

Meta launched Muse Wonder yesterday, its newest AI model and the successor to Muse Spark, and says it has reached the “AI frontier,” which basically means the leading edge of what the most capable models can do.

The company claims Wonder can compete with OpenAI and Anthropic’s top models in coding, reasoning, and complex financial and legal work, and beats them on some benchmarks. Independent testing still has to confirm that, but if it holds up, Meta becomes a real alternative for customers choosing between ChatGPT and Claude, and investors finally get something concrete to show for Zuckerberg’s spending.

After Llama 4 disappointed last year, Zuckerberg overhauled Meta’s AI operation, brought in Alexandr Wang through a ~$14B investment in Scale AI, and put him in charge of a new Superintelligence Labs team. That group scrapped Llama and rebuilt Meta’s AI from scratch, launching Muse Spark in April and an upgraded version in July. Unlike Llama, which Meta gave away for free, the Muse models are closed, and Wonder is the most powerful one yet.

It also changes how Meta makes money from AI. It will sell its best versions directly to businesses, competing for corporate AI budgets, with a premium tier, Muse Wonder Full, priced at $200 a month.

On the consumer side, Wonder will power the paid version of Muse, Meta’s personal AI assistant, which has strong momentum. Muse hit #1 on the App Store after launching in September, and some analysts called it the biggest US app launch since ChatGPT. Meta says it now has 6.6M downloads and 1.8M daily users.

Takeaway: Meta is trying to turn an expensive catch-up effort into a paid AI business. If Wonder holds up under outside testing, OpenAI and Anthropic get another deep-pocketed competitor. The harder part is getting people to use it, pay for it, and keep coming back. Muse shows Meta can get people in the door, at least for now. Zuckerberg already spent billions chasing the metaverse; this time, he needs the future to actually show up.

PRESENTED BY PETRARCH

There is a Bidding War for Spirit’s Data

Spirit Airlines stopped flying in May, but they are still hitting news cycles for the value of their operational data. Google bid $10 million for the airline’s internal files, and a startup, Micro1, put in a higher, post-auction bid at $12.5 million. A judge will decide both the buyer and what the buyer in the near future.

The coveted prize is their ordinary record of running a business: years of emails, spreadsheets, and operating files that don’t ever appear on the balance sheet. Almost no company can sell that, because raw files are full of names, addresses, faces, and logos that expose the people in them and the business that made them.

Credit and PE firms are enlisting Petrarch as their partner in distressed assets. They strip out everything traceable and leave the operational knowledge behind, so records that were a liability walk out the door as an asset that pays.

Book some time with them this week to learn more. 

HEADLINES

Top Reads

  • HSBC moves to Wall Street bonus model, cuts fixed-pay deals (BB)

  • Starbucks says it is not buying Chipotle after takeover speculation (CNBC)

  • Fast-growing Clio yogurt bars snapped up by private equity firm (Food Dive)

  • McKinsey strips partner of leadership role after LinkedIn posts (BB)

  • Dating app Bumble in advanced talks to go private at $1 billion valuation, source says (WSJ)

  • Quantum-computing company IonQ to buy cybersecurity firm for up to $1.3 billion (WSJ)

  • Intel, Broadcom CEOs warn capital crunch could become AI's biggest bottleneck (CNBC)

  • Getty Images to file for bankruptcy, go private via Koch deal (WSJ)

  • Anduril challenges defense giants by introducing cheaper missile (BB)

  • Hong Kong summit is said to draw Goldman, HSBC, UBS chiefs (BB)

  • Meta's Muse is ending its honeymoon phase on solid ground (BB)

  • Morgan Stanley traders pitch Travelodge's unloved bonds as a buy (BB)

  • Gramercy-backed firm fends off ouster from $36 billion lawsuit (BB)

  • Private equity has €41 billion of headroom for dividend recaps (BB)

  • JPMorgan, Goldman curb exposure on $5 billion Volta AI loan sale (BB)

  • Wall Street's record-breaking trading streak set to cool (YF)

  • Goldman, Morgan Stanley traders are split over Virgin Media debt (BB)

  • AI agents are a threat to travel businesses. Airbnb could still be a winner (WSJ)

  • Google debuts $180 Fitbit Edge tracker in continued health push (BB)

CAPITAL PULSE

Markets Rundown

Market Update

  • U.S. equities were mixed near record highs as a renewed sell-off in chipmakers weighed on the S&P 500; bond markets were closed for the holiday.

  • The U.S. dollar reached its strongest level against a trade-weighted basket since April last year.

  • Oil rose nearly 2% after weekend Middle East strife, while Trump announced a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire.

Energy Markets

  • WTI crude trades at $94, down from a mid-September peak above $100 but well above summer lows below $70.

  • Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have improved, though Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia and tanker attacks show the fragility.

  • The Russia-Ukraine conflict has damaged global refining capacity and pushed diesel prices higher.

Earnings and Inflation Preview

  • Third-quarter earnings begin with JPMorgan and Citigroup, with ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor reporting later this week for AI cycle insight.

  • Wednesday’s CPI is expected to show faster headline inflation on energy prices, with core inflation the key reading for the Fed.

  • Retail sales will show how households are handling elevated inflation.

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) Meta ($META) +3% after the company launched Muse Wonder, its most advanced AI model yet.

  • (–) Sandisk ($SNDK) -6% because China's ChangXin is advancing a denser chip design that could lower costs and ease tight pricing.

    (–) IonQ ($IONQ) -9% after the quantum computing company agreed to buy cybersecurity firm Elisity for up to $1.3 billion.

Prediction Markets

  • Tomorrow’s September CPI numbers come out around 8:30am EDT.

  • Trade on real-world events with Kalshi. Use code OWS to get a $10 bonus when you trade $10.

Private Dealmaking

  • Multiply Labs, a physical AI startup for medicine manufacturing, raised $75 million

  • Hone, a professional AI agent developer, raised $60 million

  • RougeTx, a Dutch biotech focused on a rare bleeding disorder, raised $58 million

  • Gallatin AI, a military logistics startup, raised $50 million

  • SciFin, a revenue data startup, raised $44 million

  • Vals AI, an AI evaluator, raised $40 million

For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.

BOOK OF THE DAY

Lucifer’s Banker Uncensored

Description:
Description: Bradley C. Birkenfeld offers a firsthand account of the secretive world of Swiss private banking and the international scandal that helped dismantle its culture of secrecy. A former UBS banker, Birkenfeld describes how wealthy American clients used offshore accounts to conceal assets from U.S. tax authorities and how Swiss banking institutions facilitated these arrangements. He recounts his decision to expose the practices, the personal and professional consequences of becoming a whistleblower, and the legal battles that followed. His revelations helped trigger a major U.S. investigation into UBS and contributed to a broader international crackdown on offshore tax evasion. The story also explores the complicated relationship between whistleblowers, financial regulators, and the institutions they expose, raising questions about accountability, incentives, and the price of challenging powerful organizations.

Book Length: 352 pages
Release Date: September 30, 2020

Ideal For: Investors, bankers, compliance professionals, tax specialists, and readers interested in financial crime, offshore banking, whistleblowing, and the intersection of money and government. It's particularly relevant for anyone interested in how regulatory failures and incentives can allow misconduct to persist inside respected financial institutions.

“Exposing a system built on secrecy can come at a steep personal cost, even when the truth serves the public interest.”

DAILY VISUAL

Europe Ahead in Something

Source: Apollo

PRESENTED BY UNIQUE AI

Your AI Teammate Across the Client Lifecycle

Remy, built by Unique AI, is an AI teammate for financial advisors and wealth managers. It’s powered by a living memory that continuously learns from interactions, client data, and firm context to strengthen relationships at every step of the client journey. Here are a few ways Remy supports your team:

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Onboarding: It processes onboarding documents, runs a source-of-wealth (SoW) review, flags gaps and routes files to compliance.

Account Review: It reviews client allocations on an ongoing basis and surfaces relevant investment ideas based on the client’s objectives, constraints, and your firm’s approved research universe.

See how Remy helps financial advisors and wealth managers use AI to bolster their workflows, grow relationships, and win deals.

DAILY ACUMEN

Franklin Effect

Benjamin Franklin had a rival in the Pennsylvania legislature who disliked him. Instead of doing the man a favor, Franklin asked for one. He wrote to borrow a rare book from the man’s library, returned it a week later with a note of thanks, and the two became friends for life.

A 1969 experiment found the same thing. Participants who were asked to return their prize money as a personal favor rated the experimenter as more likeable than those who were not asked. Psychologists explain it as dissonance: you helped him, so you must like him.

Keep the ask small, easy, and genuine, like a piece of advice or a short introduction. A big ask just makes you the person who wants something.

ENLIGHTENMENT

Short Squeez Picks

MEME-A-PALOOZA

Memes of the Day

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