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“While you can't make more time, you can make time more valuable.” — Shane Parrish
Good Morning! The FBI arrested a Saudi OpenAI employee who allegedly planted a recording device inside the company’s executive conference room. Anthropic is set to disclose new revenue numbers as AI lab financials become central to the tech trade. And Paul Tudor Jones says 2027 could be a really challenging year for the stock market.
Broadcom’s CEO compared AI investors to casino gamblers. Gold-digging gals are flocking to Silicon Valley to land rich husbands in AI. And Bank of America was hit with a $1.2 billion penalty over money laundering allegations.
Plus: the NYC Council is set to ban Central Park’s carriage horse industry by 2028, and what actually sets high achievers apart.
Reverse engineer your buyouts with Mosaic’s Reverse LBO. See it in action.
SQUEEZ OF THE DAY
Equity Traders Take the Gold

Wall Street’s bond traders almost always bring in more money than the equities desk, but this year, a generation of bond traders could finish second for the first time in their careers.
Equities divisions at five of the biggest US banks are on track to generate more than $66 billion in revenue through September, squeaking out a ~$3 billion lead over the desks trading bonds, currencies and commodities.
Yesterday, JPMorgan and Goldman reported earnings, and JPMorgan’s equities desk posted its best third quarter ever, with revenue up 49% from a year earlier. Goldman’s stock traders brought in $6.44 billion, up 72%, while its bond traders were flat. Part of the haul came from prime brokerage, which makes money lending to and servicing hedge funds and other big investors.
And it’s interesting because everyone thought AI was going to squeeze the equities trading industry and thought electronic trading would erode fees and reduce the role of human traders. Instead, equities has grown into a bigger opportunity than even Goldman CEO David Solomon says he would have anticipated.
The bond desks had a tougher quarter as higher rates fueled a bond selloff that weighed on existing debt and some client activity, and revenue from rates, mortgages and credit products softened. Citi was the only one of the three big trading banks reporting Tuesday to avoid a decline in fixed-income revenue.
Takeaway: Bank earnings are telling two stories: higher rates are helping lenders while parts of bond trading struggle, and equities is making a rare run at the revenue crown. There’s still a quarter left, but the internal argument over who deserves the bigger bonus pool just got considerably easier for the equities desk.
PRESENTED BY MOSAIC
Reverse LBOs are Here
Higher financing costs and tighter return thresholds have made entry price more consequential than ever. Buyers have less room for error, while bankers increasingly need to understand how far sponsors can stretch on valuation in a live process.
Mosaic’s new Reverse LBO helps answer that question quickly.
Enter a target IRR or MOIC, and Mosaic works backward to calculate the maximum purchase price, entry multiple, or bid premium that supports the required return. As growth, margins, leverage, financing costs, or other assumptions change, the answer updates automatically.
For bankers, that means a faster way to frame sponsor bid capacity, pressure-test valuation, and run scenarios during a process. For PE teams, it means quickly understanding how much they can pay while still preserving target returns.
See a Reverse LBO in action.
HEADLINES
Top Reads
FBI arrests Saudi OpenAI employee who allegedly planted recording device in conference room (CNBC)
Anthropic to disclose new revenue numbers as AI lab financials become central to tech trade (CNBC)
Paul Tudor Jones says 2027 could be a really challenging year for the stock market (CNBC)
Broadcom CEO compares AI investors to casino gamblers (NY Post)
Gold-digging gals are flocking to Silicon Valley to land rich husbands in AI (NY Post)
Bank of America hit with $1.2 billion penalty over money laundering allegations (Axios)
NYC Central Park’s horse-drawn carriages to be banned under new Mamdani deal (NYP)
Blackstone's Gray, Fed's Waller see warning from France's stress (BB)
Goldman CEO says there's no succession timeline despite 'noise' (BB)
India's capital market liquidity now probably second only to US, says Blackstone President (Moneycontrol)
JPMorgan, Goldman profit jumps as banks kick off earnings (WSJ)
Stock market today: bank earnings kick off earnings season (WSJ)
Anthropic warns AI models could soon copy themselves across home devices (CNBC)
Micron, Seagate, Western Digital sink as chip sell-off deepens (CNBC)
Bumble to delist in $1.3 billion deal with Ithaca Holdings (BB)
AI companion startup Charact files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, citing costs and litigation (CNBC)
VC firm Antares Ventures raises over $50 million for deep-tech investments (WSJ)
Gen Z is fleeing California for a surprising Southern state (NY Post)
Bond traders eclipsed by equities in rare Wall Street reversal (BB)
Strong performance in late-stage venture upends common wisdom (WSJ)
Zuckerberg admits Meta lacked AI certainty on $200 billion bet (BB)
Ray Dalio warns slump in Treasuries market has 'long way to go' (BB)
Premier Inn owner urges investors to resist pressure from activist hedge fund (FT)
CAPITAL PULSE
Markets Rundown

Market Update
Stocks closed modestly lower as earnings season began; the 10-year Treasury yield eased to near 5.21%.
WTI crude extended gains to about $94 on questions over Russian diesel availability and Middle East disruptions.
Asia finished mixed, Europe was broadly lower, and the U.S. dollar weakened modestly.
Earnings Season
Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Wells Fargo beat estimates while JPMorgan fell short; Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth also beat.
S&P 500 profits are forecast to grow about 27% year over year, led by energy, technology, and communication services.
All 11 sectors are projected to report year-over-year earnings increases.
Labor Market
ADP showed private employers added an average of 24,750 jobs per week for the four weeks ended September 26, down from 25,250.
The unemployment rate holds at 4.2%, with 7.1 million job openings roughly equal to the number of unemployed.
The Fed likely remains on track to hike further, with timing dependent on incoming inflation and employment data.
Movers & Shakers
(+) Bumble ($BMBL) +57% after the dating app maker agreed to be taken private by Ithaca Holdings in a $1.3 billion all-cash deal.
(+) Getty Images ($GETY) +29% because the stock photo company disclosed a prepackaged Chapter 11 restructuring.
(–) Six Flags Entertainment ($FUN) -14% after a fatal accident on the Goliath coaster at Six Flags Over Georgia.
Prediction Markets
US retail sales come out tomorrow at 8:30am EDT. Traders are predicting positive economic growth.
Private Dealmaking
TypeSafe AI, a composable AI startup, raised around $870 million
Oxide Computer, an on-premise cloud computing company, raised $445 million
Atlas Atomics, a nuclear startup cofounded by Vivek Ramaswamy, raised $400 million
Suki, an ambient scribe startup, raised $90 million
Mecka AI, a developer of data and deployment infrastructure for training physical AI, raised $60 million
Sabi, a brain-computer interface startup, raised $50 million
For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.
BOOK OF THE DAY
Butler to the World

Description: In Butler to the World, investigative journalist Oliver Bullough exposes how Britain became a global service provider for oligarchs, kleptocrats, tax dodgers, and criminals. Through London’s financial institutions, offshore tax havens, legal system, and political establishment, Bullough explains how enormous fortunes can be hidden, questionable wealth legitimized, and corruption enabled behind a respectable public image. Blending financial history, investigative reporting, and sharp humor, he traces how Britain adapted to the decline of its empire by becoming indispensable to the world's wealthy and powerful. The book challenges the assumption that sophisticated financial centers automatically promote transparency and the rule of law, revealing how their expertise can also be exploited to protect illicit wealth.
Book Length: 288 pages
Release Date: March 10, 2022
Ideal For: Investors, finance professionals, compliance and tax specialists, and readers interested in private banking, financial crime, geopolitics, and the hidden systems that allow wealth and power to operate beyond public scrutiny.
The most effective way to protect dirty money is to make it look legitimate.
DAILY VISUAL
Golden Age For One Part of America

Source: Axios
PRESENTED BY GRANOLA
Your Notes, in the Language of the Call
Coverage calls in London, a management meeting in Frankfurt, an LP update in Tokyo. Your week doesn't happen in one language, and now your notes don't have to either.
Granola, the AI notepad for people with back-to-back meetings, now supports 32 languages. Switch on multi-language mode once and Granola follows along, whether the call is in English, French, German or Japanese. You jot down what matters, Granola transcribes the meeting from your computer, then turns your notes into clear summaries, action items and next steps before your next call.
Download Granola and try it in your next meeting. Free month with the code SHORTSQUEEZ.
DAILY ACUMEN
Gall’s Law
In 1975, the systems writer John Gall put it plainly: a complex system that works has almost always evolved from a simple system that worked. A complex system designed from scratch tends not to work, and cannot be patched into working.
Amazon began by selling books. Facebook began as a directory for one university. Neither launched as the sprawling version you use today. The big-bang rollout, whether a company-wide software overhaul or a ground-up reorganization, tends to collapse under its own weight.
Ask what the smallest version is that would actually work and be useful. Build that first, then add one piece at a time.
ENLIGHTENMENT
Short Squeez Picks
What actually sets high achievers apart?
The root cause behind every leadership failure
How to train yourself to be a doer when you overthink
How to develop executive presence
You can’t always change someone’s mind with flattery
MEME-A-PALOOZA
Memes of the Day




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