🍋 SBF: "I've Had a Bad Month"

The founder of the now-bankrupt FTX gave an interview at the DealBook Summit yesterday. But he seemed pretty chill and nonchalant given the circumstances.

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 "I f--ked up and should have done better." — Sam Bankman-Fried

Good Morning! We’re finally out of a bear market - the S&P 500 had the first streak of back-to-back monthly gains since 2021 after Jerome Powell signaled a slowdown in pace of rate increases.

Musk's Neuralink announced plans to start putting chips into human brains within six months. Amazon set Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales records this year. But not all companies are doing too hot. Doordash and CNN both announced layoffs yesterday. Airbnb will make it easier for apartment renters to sublet, and McDonald's is giving customers a chance to win free food for life with its McGold Card, with reported owners including Warren Buffett and Bill Gates.

Twilio stock has fallen off a cliff this year, down more than 80%. If you'd like to model out where it goes from here, Daloopa is giving away Twilio's model. Download here.

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1. Story of the Day: SBF: "I've Had a Bad Month"

Sam Bankman-Fried definitely had a bad month - he went from being worth over $20 billion to close to $0. He won’t stop talking - and it’s driving his lawyers crazy. 

The founder of the now-bankrupt FTX gave an interview at the DealBook Summit yesterday. SBF reiterated that he was sorry for what happened and that he never tried to defraud anyone. But he seemed pretty chill and nonchalant given the circumstances. 

Experts don’t think the interview went well. SBF admitted to making critical mistakes like comingling funds between FTX and Alameda, and one lawyer called the conversation a “litigation suicide.” SBF will inevitably face a slew of legal battles, and any contradictory claims will be held against him.

And the interview definitely didn’t help SBF’s public persona. He came across as laid-back and indifferent to the billions of dollars lost. But while SBF is apparently cool with losing his entire fortune, angry FTX and retail crypto investors alike are not. 

Meanwhile, a couple of billionaires were quite happy with his performance, tweeting: "Call me crazy, but I think @sbf is telling the truth." Kevin O'Leary added: "I’m in the @billAckman camp about the kid!"

Takeaway: To say SBF is unusual would be an understatement. But providing lengthy interviews while under a potential federal investigation takes things to a different level. It's tough to gauge what exactly SBF was trying to accomplish with this interview. While he was able to impress Bill Ackman and Kevin O'Leary, many disgruntled customers would rather see him behind bars than at the DealBook Summit explaining how he lost their money.

2. Markets Rundown

If you want access to Wall Street insider interviews, industry deep-dives, and investment ideas, check out our Insiders newsletter.

Stocks rallied after Jerome Powell suggested a potential pause to rate hikes.

Movers & Shakers

  • (+) Build-A-Bear Workshop ($BBW) +23% after crushing earnings.

  • (+) Workday ($WDAY) +17% because the enterprise management company had a strong Q3 and will buy back shares.

  • (–) CrowdStrike ($CRWD) -15% after the cybersecurity company's Q3 revenue missed estimates.

Private Dealmaking

  • Rubicon Carbon, a carbon credit company, raised $300 million

  • Cajal Neuroscience, a biotech startup focused on treating Alzheimer’s, raised $96 million

  • Deepgram, a speech-to-text platform, raised $47 million

  • Djamo, an African-based consumer finance app, raised $14 million

  • KKR bought April Group, a French insurer, for $2.4 billion

  • Disney bought out its remaining 15% stake in streaming company BAMTech for $900 million

A Message from Daloopa: Update Models With 1-Click

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Twilio stock has fallen off a cliff. It's down 81% YTD and 35% over the last month.

If you are interested in modeling out where Twilio goes from here, Daloopa is giving away Twilio's detailed financial model to Short Squeez readers.

Top Reads

  • The golf business continues to ride the pandemic wave (YF)

  • Why the inverted yield curve may not signal a recession this time (Axios)

  • Long Covid could be the next public health disaster with a $3.7 trillion economic impact (CNBC)

  • SBF's full interview with NYT Sorkin (YT)

  • Citi warns rolling recessions will shake global economy in 2023 (YF)

  • Nissan wants to be the king of electric cars again (Axios)

  • 50 ways to be ridiculously generous (GID)

  • How meditation literally alters brain activity (Big Think)

  • Musk calls on Fed to cut rates immediately or risk severe recession (CNBC)

  • Consumers “shattered” early holiday shopping expectations this year (Axios)

  • Google hit with multibillion-dollar lawsuit over ad dominance in the U.K. (MW)

4. Book of the Day: Rigging The Game

Why do some always seem to win while others always seem to fail? And why do others win and then fail to maintain their spot at the top?

Is it luck?

Not to spoil the contents of this book, but no...it isn't.

To see consistent success in your own business, you're going to have to turn the magnifying glass on yourself. 

Because the fact is, nothing you do-no action you take, no strategic financial decision you make-matters if it doesn't bring you closer to the things you really want.

So how do you ensure that you can ultimately reach (and fund) your priorities?

Rigging the Game is here to help you create and follow a path to the things you truly value, whatever they may be, and eliminate the risk and financial uncertainty that commonly plague business owners every single day.

“Dan Nicholson delves into tips and strategies that can help entrepreneurs get what they want.”

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6. Daily Visual: Top Butter Buying States

Average ounces of butter purchased (via Instacart) per customer in Nov '21

Source: Axios

7. Daily Acumen

“Many ideas get dismissed because they come from someone we don't like.

You would never choose to only use half your talent but that is effectively what you're doing when you dismiss useful ideas from people you don't like.

You can agree with the idea without needing to agree with the person.”

Source: Farnam Street

8. Crypto Corner

9. Job Board

  • Hilbert Trading Inc. - Core C++ Software Engineer - New York, NY

  • Bank of America - Hedge Funds Associate, Global Markets Credit - New York, NY

  • Bloomberg - Senior Software Engineer - Fixed Income Core - New York, NY

  • BNY Mellon - Senior Auditor II - Digital Assets/Cryptocurrency Specialist - New York, NY

  • Octopus Energy - Financial Controller - Houston, TX

  • AMEX - Senior Financial Analyst - New York, NY

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10. Memes of the Day

 

 

 

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