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- 🍋 High Hopes, Low Bonuses
🍋 High Hopes, Low Bonuses
Why Goldman could see a mass exodus after bonus season, plus rizz is the word of the year, plus the most desirable trait CEOs look for.
Together With
"I didn't get to where I am by going after mediocre opportunities." — Charlie Munger
Good Morning! Rizz is officially the Oxford word of 2023. Spotify’s laying off 17% of its workforce. Gold rose to a record high on dovish Fed remarks. JPMorgan is also painting a grim economic outlook in 2024, predicting the S&P falls 8%. IRS increased interest penalty on the underpayment of estimated taxes to 8% (from 3% just two years ago). Plus, check out Short Squeez Picks for the most desirable trait CEOs look for in employees and how setbacks can actually boost your career.
SQUEEZ OF THE DAY
Bleak Bonus Season Ahead: Goldman Tampering Expectations

Last year, Goldman analysts got rekt when bonus season rolled around. But senior management tried appeasing the disgruntled bankers - saying 2022 was a one-time down year.
But it turns out the firm’s bonus pool is looking pretty bleak this year, too. And management at Goldman is bracing for the possibility of a talent exodus after they kept expectations too high this year.
And it makes sense. Management wanted to prevent a mass exodus last spring - and they were able to convince bankers to stick it out, believing it could only go up from a rough 2022. They swore they'd make it rain if people stuck around.
But the higher-ups are starting to do some serious backpedaling. With earnings looking bleak thanks to major asset write-downs and a dry market, there's just not enough cash for a lucrative bonus season.
Takeaway: Managers were so sure they'd raise the bar this year, but as one employee says, "managing expectations is not their strong suit." So we don’t blame Goldman bankers for looking for greener pastures after comp season - it will probably be yet another bleak bonus season.
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HEADLINES
Top Reads
Oxford names ‘rizz’ the word of the year for 2023 (CNN)
Gold rises to record on dovish Fed remarks (YF)
How a Canadian company became the world’s best acquirer of tech firms (YF)
Spotify to cut 1,500 jobs in latest round of layoffs (Axios)
RS move could carry hefty cost for some taxpayers (Fox)
KKR Infrastructure head expects deals to accelerate next year (BB)
Amazon’s space dreams deserve to be grounded (Reuters)
Rate cut hopes drive S&P to best month of year (Axios)
Bitcoin hits 42k, tops 18-month high (CNBC)
Should we merge America’s merging regulators? (Axios)
Competition will make obesity drugs successful (Reuters)
CAPITAL PULSE
Markets Rundown

Stocks slipped to start jobs week.
Movers & Shakers
(+) Carvana ($CVNA) +14% after JPMorgan raised its price target.
(+) Spotify ($SPOT) +7% after announcing it will lay off 17% of its staff.
(–) Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) -18% after founder Branson ruled out future investments.
Private Dealmaking
Thoma Bravo completed its $3.6 billion sale of Imperva, a cybersecurity company, to Thales
Roche bought Carmot Therapeutics, an anti-obesity drug developer, for $2.7 billion
Concentra Biosciences offered to buy LianBio, a drug developer, for $465 million
Ursa Major, a rocket engine maker, raised $138 million
Seismic Therapeutic, a biotech focused on immunology, raised $121 million
ArmorCode, an AppSecOps platform, raised $40 million
For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.
BOOK OF THE DAY
Tomorrowmind

In recent years, workplace toxicity, industry volatility, and technology-driven turnover have threatened the psychological well-being of employees. When we can’t flourish at work, both personal success and corporate productivity suffer.
As we sit on the cusp of some of the most turbulent economic changes in history, many of us wonder how we can not only survive but flourish in our careers.
Now, Tomorrowmind provides essential plans and actionable advice for facing the uncertain future of work. With in-depth and clear-eyed evidence, it offers key skills on everything from resilience and innovation to social connection and foresight.
Cultivate a workplace that fosters connection and meaning for yourself or your employees with this timely and crucial guide that is destined to inspire generations of workers.
“We are always told to live in the present. But the future holds our dreams, and may be the key to our happiness.”
DAILY VISUAL
Rapid Decline in Bank Lending

Source: Apollo
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DAILY ACUMEN
Taxes
Taxes extend beyond the financial realm; they permeate every facet of our existence. Seneca's insight, conveyed in a letter to Lucilius, emphasizes that complaints and anxieties are akin to life's inherent taxes, from which one should never expect exemption or attempt evasion.
Whether it's dealing with bothersome individuals taxing your patience, enduring travel delays as a tax on your journey, or facing criticism as a tax on maintaining a YouTube channel—life imposes its levies on various fronts. Even success comes with its own tax, a monetary one that tends to increase with one's achievements.
Seneca's perspective offers a refreshing outlook—he advocates paying these taxes with a sense of acceptance and even gladness. After all, encountering such challenges often signifies a life well-lived, a year of financial prosperity, and the simple joy of being alive.
JOB BOARD
Featured Jobs
Daily Harvest - Director, Strategic Finance - New York, NY
ByteDance - Finance - New York, NY
FBI - Agent, Finance - New York, NY
ENLIGHTENMENT
Short Squeez Picks
5 types of people you need in your network
Morgan Housel on expiring vs. permanent skills
48 books everyone should read
The most desirable trait CEOs look for in employees
How setbacks can actually boost your career
MEME-A-PALOOZA
Memes of the Day




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